The research firm Dell’Oro Group has announced that worldwide combined sales for DSL, cable and PON access equipment, including both access concentrators and CPE, are forecasted to decline 10 percent in 2009 to $8.7 billion. A slight overall market recovery is expected in 2010 before gradually declining thereafter through 2013. However, PON revenues are expected to grow each year throughout the forecast period, while cable revenues are forecasted to be relatively flat and DSL revenues are forecasted to fall significantly by 2013.
“PON is the bright spot in the access market in 2009 and is expected to remain so throughout our forecast horizon,” said Tam Dell’Oro, founder of Dell’Oro Group, in a prepared statement. “We expect growth to be fueled by rapidly increasing PON deployments in China, as well as increasing numbers and size of GPON deployments around the world driven by service providers who need to upgrade their access networks in order to be able to deliver new revenue generating services such as TV over broadband."