A new report from Informa Telecoms & Media forecasts that fewer than half of the 11 million 3D TV-ready homes in the UK in 2016 will be active and regular users of 3DTV content. Last year, almost 90 percent of homes with 3D-ready sets were “active” users. This much higher proportion results from early-adopters being significantly more likely to sign up for 3D content services, coupled with operators making content available for free to build some scale. As 3D becomes a “default” technology embedded into more and more sets as standard, it will reach consumers who are not particularly interested in the technology and so the “active” percentage will fall.

“3DTV has the backing of the major UK broadcasters like Sky and Virgin, and most recently the BBC announced its plans to show the Wimbledon final in 3D for the first time. However, despite this, public reaction has been mixed – due to both a lack of content and a simple failure of the public to engage with what is, essentially, a new type of viewing experience,” said Adam Thomas, senior analyst and author of Global 3DTV Forecasts, in a statement.

There will, however, be significant growth in the penetration of 3D-ready sets with one in three households in the UK owning a TV set with 3D capabilities by 2016. But this growth is being driven by a change in strategy among consumer electronics (CE) companies. At launch, 3D was marketed as the “next big thing” for the mainstream TV viewing experience – the natural successor to HDTV. With mainstream adoption becoming a much harder sell, the emphasis has changed to a future-proofing strategy. By depicting 3D as the cutting edge of technology, CE manufacturers can use it to attract TV set buyers by convincing them that a compelling 3D environment will eventually be in place, so they should equip themselves for it now.

“Irrespective of existing public demand for 3D, major set manufacturers (Samsung, LG, Panasonic) increasingly see 3D capability as a feature that they must include in their sets, or the perception will be that rival manufacturers are producing a technically-superior product (with 3D included). The result is that an increasing proportion of TV sets are having 3D capability built into them,” added Thomas.

The Informa view remains that the short-term impact will be limited, but 3D TV-capable sets will have long-term, mass-market penetration, driven by major CE manufacturers embedding the technology in the majority of their sets. However, Informa anticipate that use of the 3D capability will be limited in homes, often restricted to major events where a 3D viewing experience will be sought for its novelty value.

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